Day 3 Areal Outline
Issued:
Summary
Severe thunderstorms are expected across parts of the Northeast and Midwest from Friday through Saturday, with a slight risk of severe weather in areas ranging from Syracuse to near New York City. Marginal risks and general thunderstorms are also forecast for portions of the central and southern United States during the same period.
Product Text
000 WUUS03 KWNS 161929 PTSDY3 DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0227 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2026 VALID TIME 181200Z - 191200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3 ... ANY SEVERE ... 0.05 33687708 33417904 33768169 34698402 36378722 38549009 39439117 40649128 42608961 43818667 45148209 45557958 45497719 44797482 42637252 40327157 0.15 36567505 35927690 35627883 36558036 37558002 38408104 38658368 39108623 40328665 41808387 42818173 43767946 44157825 43897708 43467643 42547626 41427571 40907508 40247417 39587312 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 43897708 43467643 42547626 41427571 40247417 39797345 99999999 36527517 35927690 35627883 36558036 37558002 38408104 38658368 39108623 40328665 41808387 42718193 MRGL 45097582 44797482 42637252 40457162 99999999 33647735 33417904 33768169 34698402 36378722 39439117 40649128 42608961 43818667 45148209 TSTM 49479667 45289894 44269964 43219921 42539593 42709239 44718825 47548363 99999999 37940224 37409679 38019572 38769522 39449508 40319797 40520108 41410329 42100410 42260567 41880591 41200546 39270461 37990375 37940224 99999999 31101172 32321286 33191386 33851479 34001570 33961645 34251713 34941666 35591612 36901603 38131650 39121703 40061617 42171551 44981619 46391516 47981347 49871271 99999999 27829108 28699050 31668997 33719019 34669215 35169650 33969906 32409985 30900065 28110156 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NNE ROC 30 NNW SYR 10 ENE ITH 0 - AVP 15 NNE NEL 60 SSE JFK ...CONT... 60 ENE ECG 45 WSW ECG 15 S RDU 40 NW GSO 15 N ROA 30 E CRW 50 SE LUK 20 E BMG 15 ESE LAF 15 NNW TOL 45 E MTC THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WNW MSS 10 S MSS 25 SW EEN 50 S BID ...CONT... 55 SE ILM 20 SSW CRE 30 NNE AGS 65 NW AHN 20 SE CKV 35 S UIN 10 SW BRL 30 W JVL 40 SSW MBL 80 NE OSC GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNE HCO 30 WSW ABR 35 NNW 9V9 40 S 9V9 25 ENE SUX 10 N ALO 15 NNW GRB 80 NNE ANJ ...CONT... 25 ESE LAA 40 ESE ICT 25 NNW CNU 25 WSW OJC 10 WNW FLV 30 SE HSI 30 E IML 25 NW SNY 0 - TOR 35 SSW DGW 40 NNW LAR 15 SE LAR 30 N COS 15 WSW LHX 25 ESE LAA ...CONT... 85 SSW TUS 45 SSW GBN 55 NE YUM 15 NNW BLH 35 NE TRM 30 NW TRM 30 NE RAL 10 NE DAG 65 NE DAG 15 N DRA 30 E TPH 25 SSE U31 40 NNW P68 40 ENE OWY 10 NNW MYL 25 NE P69 45 ESE GPI 90 N CTB ...CONT... 125 SSW HUM 60 S HUM 40 WNW PIB 15 NNW GWO 0 - LIT 45 SSE CQB 30 W SPS 10 W ABI 35 SSW SJT 95 SSW DRT