Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are expected on Tuesday, July 14, across portions of the central and southeastern United States. An enhanced risk of severe weather is forecast for areas including parts of the Mississippi Valley, while slight and marginal risks extend across broader regions.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 140558 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1256 AM CDT TUE JUL 14 2026 VALID TIME 141200Z - 151200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 43216972 43237112 43267187 43357287 43667495 43997592 44317667 0.05 46186738 45826787 44756940 44287058 44107171 44207313 44407393 44727495 44987548 CIG1 43607154 43647244 43777361 44147497 44537577 44667580 44777574 44907566 45067542 45277495 45277380 45317238 45587118 45807088 46267064 46997021 47666946 47736899 47666817 47256759 46816747 45836745 44926786 44406851 44166896 43627104 43607154 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 44721194 44741366 44871409 45091431 45401446 45881441 46541380 47411286 48191163 48481084 48680977 48710887 48650842 48320787 48010765 47500759 46670767 45850795 45330838 44960942 44781038 44721194 0.05 43206973 43237106 43267183 43407321 43687502 44007599 44317664 0.15 45546715 45236767 44936836 44566928 44147065 44017170 44137317 44327397 44577482 44757527 44937560 CIG1 44546883 44147011 43997071 43887166 43927244 44027326 44277431 44457491 44637534 44797553 44977552 45077539 45257499 45277386 45337238 45577120 45797091 46647038 46737024 46796982 46686912 46336846 46056818 45836809 45576802 45226816 44866841 44546883 && ... WIND ... 0.05 44711195 44751365 44881407 45111433 45411447 45841442 46391392 47471278 48171166 48471088 48670979 48710890 48640843 48330788 48040767 47540759 46640768 45860793 45320838 44970938 44781036 44711195 0.05 43216974 43247103 43277188 43377305 43687501 44017600 44327668 0.15 45206663 44196913 43727112 43757243 43897370 44217491 44717608 0.30 46866740 45606870 44966956 44467059 44267168 44377307 44587391 44827478 45087529 CIG1 43857215 43947337 44297482 44587556 44697566 44737569 44847568 45067543 45267498 45277394 45317237 45507157 45587118 45787090 46187069 46987021 47676942 47736901 47656817 47226754 46746744 45836745 45576755 45166775 44416871 44246936 43827110 43857215 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 46816745 45606870 44966956 44467059 44267168 44377307 44827478 45087529 SLGT 45206663 44196913 43727112 43757243 43897370 44217491 44717608 MRGL 43206973 43267187 43667495 44317667 MRGL 45881441 46541380 47411286 48191163 48481084 48680977 48710887 48650842 48330788 48010765 47500759 46670767 45860793 45320838 44970938 44781036 44711195 44741366 44871409 45111433 45411447 45881441 TSTM 43668168 44178304 44648455 45278642 45308900 45619087 46079301 46499450 46859589 47079735 47349945 47440072 47520225 47650345 47590412 47340493 46680599 45650672 45170673 44600667 43900701 43580784 43270850 43030888 42450957 41850975 41280958 40250886 40080846 40090759 40090671 39880614 39250560 38180521 36470393 35940309 35420228 35220195 35260175 35430174 36380170 36930091 37070085 37190002 37139945 37199840 37379781 37269710 36899633 36499561 36599499 36869487 37269429 37359361 37429244 37219048 37408921 37558786 37198593 36598420 36048344 35598315 35258274 35078255 34718083 34977860 35717536 35837456 99999999 42456974 42897179 43117350 43247563 43857723 99999999 27009639 27349705 27699809 27799911 27290013 99999999 31661666 33891753 34491755 34761736 34921711 35041699 35201684 35511690 35721726 35781775 35861845 36581899 37571976 39162079 39882170 40152191 40232204 40122235 39932243 39482249 39052236 38722260 39002332 40372382 41472420 41852401 42112363 42072333 42412255 43012230 43652216 44152208 44672183 45302171 45492142 45642110 45981917 46401800 46581731 46511681 46381655 46241625 46281567 46491531 47051479 47941389 48811299 49891232 && THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E CAR 55 N BGR 45 NNE AUG 30 ESE BML 20 W MWN 10 SSE BTV 10 SSE MSS 25 WNW MSS THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE EPM 45 SSW BGR 20 NE LCI 10 NW LEB 40 N GFL 50 S MSS 50 N ART THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE PWM 20 WNW CON 40 NNE UCA 40 NW ART THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NNW SMN 30 SSE MSO 55 NNE 3DU 50 NNW GTF 50 W HVR 10 N HVR 45 ENE HVR 60 E HVR 60 W GGW 50 WSW GGW 65 SW GGW 75 NE BIL 30 E BIL 35 SSE BIL 35 NNW COD 40 E WEY 20 ENE MQM 30 SSE SMN 20 SSW SMN 20 W SMN 35 NW SMN 60 NNW SMN GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 E BAX 25 N BAX 20 NNE HTL 45 SE ESC 30 SE RHI 65 S ASX 65 SW DLH 20 WNW BRD 0 - DTL 25 WNW FAR 45 NW JMS 45 N BIS 40 WSW N60 40 SSE ISN 10 SSE SDY 15 NNW GDV 20 NNW MLS 60 NNE SHR 30 NNE SHR 20 SE SHR 60 S SHR 30 SSE WRL 15 N RIW 15 NNW LND 30 ESE BPI 40 WNW RKS 35 SW RKS 35 ESE VEL 65 N GJT 30 S CAG 30 NNE EGE 45 ENE EGE 55 SW DEN 40 W PUB 35 ESE RTN 35 S CAO 35 WNW AMA 15 W AMA 0 - AMA 15 N AMA 25 SSW GUY 10 SSE LBL 0 - LBL 40 S DDC 55 SSE DDC 10 SE P28 30 SW ICT 30 SE ICT 20 WNW BVO 25 NE TUL 15 W GMJ 20 NNW GMJ 15 ENE JLN 15 NW SGF 30 SW TBN 30 N POF 25 S MDH 40 SSW EVV 30 ENE BWG 35 S LOZ 35 ENE TYS 30 SW HSS 15 SW AVL 25 S AVL 35 S CLT 15 E FAY 35 NNE HSE 75 NE HSE ...CONT... 60 NNE HYA 25 SW CON 15 SSE GFL 15 WNW UCA 55 NNE ROC ...CONT... 85 SE CRP 40 SE CRP 0 - ALI 30 NE LRD 45 WSW LRD ...CONT... 65 S CZZ 0 - RAL 35 SE EDW 30 ESE EDW 20 WNW DAG 20 NW DAG 25 N DAG 45 N DAG 25 E NID 10 NNW NID 45 NE BFL 45 ESE FAT 55 N FAT 45 WNW TVL 35 ESE RBL 20 E RBL 10 ENE RBL 0 - RBL 20 SSW RBL 50 SSW RBL 45 E UKI 45 SE UKI 10 SW UKI 35 SSE EKA 20 S CEC 10 ENE CEC 35 E 4BK 30 SW MFR 15 E MFR 55 NNE MFR 60 ESE EUG 45 W RDM 45 NW RDM 35 SW DLS 15 SW DLS 0 - DLS 25 NW PDT 25 NNE ALW 15 SW PUW 15 NE LWS 20 E LWS 30 WNW P69 10 NNW P69 25 NNE P69 35 WNW MSO 30 SSE GPI 30 WNW CTB 90 N CTB