Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-22 00:56 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms, including risks of tornadoes, hail, and damaging wind, are expected across portions of the central and eastern United States during the evening of July 21. The risk ranges from slight to marginal in several areas, with broader chances for general thunderstorms spanning much of the country.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 220056 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0754 PM CDT TUE JUL 21 2026 VALID TIME 220100Z - 221200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 35787449 36097631 36877894 36838113 36158506 35908636 35988689 36238796 36518833 36638838 36708837 36938822 37188529 38048298 38328261 39198202 40018164 40498134 41408025 41487976 41197885 40857870 40087931 39727947 39417919 39307896 39277834 39487669 38927411 0.05 36707449 36667565 36657644 36947730 37367769 38037749 38717720 38977727 39267690 39037553 38457435 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 36389091 36608971 37098666 37128437 36788388 36478387 35778437 35728763 35428992 35699078 36389091 && ... WIND ... 0.05 45647302 44137188 40757092 0.05 34897476 34677763 34388386 34808738 34529019 34889174 35589236 36239224 36379204 36549120 36868947 37138778 37488540 37868448 39168393 40318305 40538252 41208144 41767967 42257834 44237727 0.05 41631328 41431177 40741024 40100935 39360907 38560918 37830942 37240997 37091076 37281143 37691237 38031304 38741391 39651431 40541448 41411388 41631328 0.15 36307489 35637743 35728295 35698741 35489003 35569067 35909099 36199110 36399103 36768904 37108636 37278416 37908265 38368190 38408180 38928049 39497741 39707645 39567572 38487449 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 36257507 35637743 35728295 35698741 35489003 35569067 35909099 36199110 36399103 36768904 37108636 37278416 37908265 38368190 38928049 39707645 39567572 38577459 MRGL 45487290 44137188 40757092 99999999 34877500 34677763 34388386 34808738 34529019 34889174 35589236 36239224 36379204 36868947 37488540 37868448 39168393 40318305 40538252 41208144 42257834 44097735 MRGL 41411388 41631328 41431177 40741024 40100935 39360907 38560918 37830942 37240997 37091076 37281143 38031304 38741391 39651431 40541448 41411388 TSTM 28829314 32879342 34169377 34739423 35529529 36099586 36519601 36719552 36669465 36559380 36559167 37548775 38038665 39018535 40268454 41968144 42308091 42688085 99999999 28858382 30698460 31378638 31058879 31598976 32878970 33748884 33508749 33288679 33318595 33098425 32568311 30628199 28288192 26388149 26438102 26928087 30068082 99999999 31541304 33021359 34721484 35291570 35581694 35621797 35981891 36501951 38282074 39232140 39692179 39952212 40152253 40332298 40562350 41172395 41592408 43082420 44412395 45022374 45332353 45542311 45662234 45592145 45342045 45121987 44981897 45051807 45871609 46481468 46661347 46541182 46181012 45970872 45980776 46080647 46190514 46190448 46160299 46100155 45579999 44579858 42999780 42059758 41509746 40759764 39929886 39800213 38900400 37660448 35980500 35300511 35020514 33890479 30590392 28750271 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 E ECG 30 ESE RWI 15 SSW HSS 50 SW BNA 30 N MEM 20 S JBR 15 SSW ARG 10 WNW ARG 20 NNW ARG 25 SW PAH 10 NNE BWG 15 NNW LOZ 30 S HTS 15 W CRW 35 W EKN 40 NNE BWI 10 SW ILG 60 S ACY THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NW EFK 30 WSW MWN 45 SE BID ...CONT... 45 SE HSE 10 S OAJ 40 NW AHN 15 ENE MSL 40 SSW MEM 30 ENE LIT 45 S FLP 15 E FLP 30 SSW UNO 25 SSE CGI 50 SSE SDF 15 SSE LEX 25 E LUK 25 NNW CMH 20 S MFD 20 N CAK 35 NNE BFD 70 NNE ROC THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 N ENV 70 SSE BYI 20 NE OGD 45 WNW VEL 25 SSE VEL 35 WNW GJT 35 ESE CNY 20 N 4BL 35 SW 4BL 30 S U17 25 N PGA 25 N CDC 55 WNW MLF 35 NE ELY 25 WSW ENV 50 N ENV GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 S LCH 40 NE SHV 35 ENE DEQ 30 SE RKR 10 SSE MKO 10 S TUL 20 S BVO 30 E BVO 0 - GMJ 25 SSE UMN 20 SE UNO 35 SSW EVV 35 NE OWB 60 NNE SDF 30 NW DAY 45 NNE CLE 40 WNW ERI 55 NW ERI ...CONT... 70 SW CTY 25 NW TLH 40 NNE CEW 40 NW MOB 25 WNW PIB 45 NNE JAN 25 WNW CBM 20 NNE TCL 20 S BHM 20 SSW ANB 40 SSE ATL 35 ESE MCN 20 WNW JAX 40 WSW ORL 25 NE APF 50 ENE APF 50 WNW PBI 30 ENE SGJ ...CONT... 100 SSW GBN 50 W GBN 15 WSW EED 65 SSW LAS 40 E NID 15 WSW NID 40 NNE BFL 25 SSE FAT 35 NE SCK 50 N SAC 40 SE RBL 15 SSE RBL 15 W RBL 40 WNW RBL 35 ESE EKA 15 NNE ACV 15 SSE CEC 25 S OTH 15 SSE ONP 35 NNE ONP 40 NW SLE 25 W PDX 15 ENE PDX 15 W DLS 40 ESE DLS 65 SW PDT 50 S PDT 20 NW BKE 30 SW P69 40 SW MSO 15 W 3DU 10 ESE HLN 20 SW 3HT 15 NW BIL 40 ENE BIL 35 SW MLS 40 ESE MLS 15 SW BHK 45 SSW DIK 30 ENE Y22 20 E MBG 20 NW HON 20 WNW YKN 10 WNW OFK 0 - OLU 40 ESE GRI 50 SSW HSI 40 NNE ITR 30 SW LIC 30 NNW TAD 25 NNE LVS 25 S LVS 45 S LVS 45 NNW ROW 15 NNE MRF 95 SSW 6R6