Day 2 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-08-16 05:28 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms with risks of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are expected across parts of the central and southern United States on Sunday, August 17. These storms will range from marginal to slight severity across a wide area including portions of the Midwest, Deep South, and Plains.

Product Text

000 WUUS02 KWNS 160528 PTSDY2 DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1226 AM CDT SUN AUG 16 2026 VALID TIME 171200Z - 181200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 42070134 42850031 43589821 43249668 42109653 41159750 40589889 40450073 40700144 41200183 42070134 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 40490323 42800342 43640274 44110179 45009840 46689549 46789506 46269330 46029298 45299279 43969294 42219531 40839696 40139823 39870184 40490323 0.15 42120154 42820094 44329644 44539567 44349506 43869504 43089564 41459782 40819930 40790099 41190149 42120154 && ... WIND ... 0.05 35498716 37228389 37658106 37867811 37417737 36037722 35387763 34617846 34048072 33798344 33758601 33958707 34358748 35038743 35498716 0.05 34639865 35179902 35599902 35749840 35719699 35369514 34779490 34439509 34269539 34329731 34639865 0.05 45489286 43909300 40889609 37420045 36700122 36600309 37160381 37860391 38770310 40620310 42760344 43660269 44080176 44560009 44989840 46009679 46679544 46789501 46139314 45489286 0.15 35688586 36858320 36968127 36827905 36647837 36427819 35977826 35667868 35087951 34978096 34788319 34598518 34728560 35058607 35688586 0.15 40770101 41100148 42080158 42840106 43949773 44279659 44509567 44319510 43839504 43159545 42159685 41429784 40819933 40790027 40770101 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 35688586 36858320 36968127 36827905 36647837 36427819 35977826 35087951 34598518 34728560 35058607 35688586 SLGT 42840106 43949773 44539567 44349506 43839504 43159545 41429784 40819930 40770101 41100148 42080158 42840106 MRGL 35599902 35749840 35719699 35369514 34779490 34439509 34269539 34329731 34639865 35179902 35599902 MRGL 35038743 35498716 37228389 37658106 37867811 37417737 36037722 35387763 34617846 34048072 33798344 33758601 33958707 34358748 35038743 MRGL 38770310 40430310 40490323 42760344 43640274 44110179 45009840 46009679 46689549 46789501 46269330 46029298 45299279 43969294 40889609 37420045 36700122 36600309 37160381 37860391 38770310 TSTM 48368661 45228908 43469109 41799280 40339550 39699696 38789751 38109732 37859686 37539456 37489199 38128767 39448213 41627660 43167267 46256648 99999999 28619098 29459208 29939248 30339233 31119117 32079004 32598984 33099080 33529256 33879599 34269973 34650274 34130449 33420494 32650526 32590592 32680684 32400727 31220758 99999999 27897989 28498349 99999999 31181280 33071129 33561104 34511157 35371243 36041213 36281154 36691021 38310805 39800692 42360470 43410453 43840531 44000621 43630815 43001044 43221138 43911315 43891489 44611654 44321789 43921864 43751978 44482030 45361909 46331664 47171479 47681447 48421506 49741578 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WSW CSV 50 SSE JKL 25 S BLF 25 NE DAN 20 W AVC 20 SSW AVC 20 WNW RWI 10 SW SOP 15 N RMG 30 SW CHA 50 NE HSV 45 WSW CSV THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W VTN 20 NE MHE 30 W RWF 15 S RWF 30 ENE OTG 15 W SPW 25 W OLU 15 WNW EAR 30 SW LBF 40 N IML 25 W MHN 25 W VTN THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNE CSM 50 NNW CHK 10 W CQB 25 SSE MKO 25 SW RKR 50 SSW RKR 45 N PRX 15 W ADM 15 W FSI 15 SE CSM 20 NNE CSM THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNE MSL 50 SSW BNA 15 NE LOZ 10 SSE BKW 25 SE CHO 0 - RIC 40 SE RZZ 20 ESE GSB 35 SE FAY 25 ENE CAE 15 SSW AHN 15 SSE GAD 30 NW BHM 30 SSE MSL 20 NNE MSL THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE LIC 20 NNE AKO 20 N AKO 20 WSW CDR 30 SSE RAP 10 WNW PHP 30 S ABR 50 NNW VVV 20 ESE DTL 50 S BJI 40 ESE BRD 70 SW DLH 35 NE MSP 20 W RST 30 SSW OMA 40 SSE GCK 15 E GUY 10 NNE CAO 30 ESE TAD 25 WSW LHX 45 SE LIC GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 135 NNE MQT 35 SE RHI 30 SSE LSE 40 NNE OXV 20 NNE FNB 40 NNW MHK 10 E SLN 30 N ICT 35 ENE ICT 25 N JLN 20 SSE TBN 10 NW EVV 15 NNE UNI 30 NNE IPT 30 SSE RUT 65 E HUL ...CONT... 70 SSW HUM 25 S 7R4 25 WNW 7R4 25 WNW LFT 35 SSE HEZ 15 S JAN 25 NE JAN 30 SSE GLH 25 NE ELD 25 ESE DUA 35 ESE CDS 40 ENE CVS 60 N ROW 25 WNW ROW 60 SSE SRR 20 SSE ALM 45 SE TCS 30 ENE DMN 70 S DMN ...CONT... 35 ENE VRB 65 NW PIE ...CONT... 120 S GBN 50 ESE PHX 55 E PHX 45 S FLG 45 SSW GCN 0 - GCN 45 S PGA 65 SSE U17 15 SSW MTJ 10 N EGE 35 NW TOR 60 NE DGW 35 SSE GCC 40 SW GCC 25 SSW WRL 35 NNW BPI 40 ESE IDA 60 SW MQM 40 NW SUN 30 SW MYL 35 S BKE 25 NE BNO 45 WNW BNO 45 ENE RDM 25 SSW PDT 20 E LWS 40 SE 3TH 45 SSW GPI 40 W GPI 120 NW GPI