Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-06-22 12:40 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are expected across portions of the central and southern United States through Monday. The risk levels range from marginal to slight for most affected areas, with a marginal risk of severe weather spanning from the Gulf Coast toward the mid-Atlantic and a slight risk across parts of the Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 221240 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0738 AM CDT MON JUN 22 2026 VALID TIME 221300Z - 231200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 38327433 38327657 38377750 38777844 39538004 39818020 40367987 40827796 41597542 41417443 40217296 0.02 35398416 34498472 33088655 32718879 32509033 32879082 33629102 34209075 34919018 35658804 36208642 36178535 35938481 35398416 0.02 43160339 42490227 41470168 40180140 39210158 38090179 37270209 37130273 37210320 37580438 38350489 39490472 40530468 42580542 43580600 44280665 45110651 45480587 45320481 44390421 43160339 0.05 40680409 41340405 41690381 41810348 41820299 41650253 41030219 40460216 39730260 39650330 40120378 40680409 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 40400535 44140699 44820887 45691014 46641033 47150964 47390722 47460551 47250417 46090322 43940213 42350105 38740012 34939807 34529708 34229601 33729582 33109591 32839621 32749709 32789844 32279968 31580030 31180197 31540244 34830314 36980439 38470491 40400535 0.05 36898141 40347781 40677657 40897485 40407423 39727452 38627577 37557682 37067771 36157976 35698072 35378146 35678202 36898141 0.15 37380387 38930417 40430447 42240535 43280601 44550670 45120714 45570657 45850584 45410455 44560366 42430224 39870150 38820126 37740123 37080199 36960332 37380387 CIG1 42770233 38220101 36520031 35530024 34910103 34650244 34980309 36340396 37060436 38560486 41150541 44520663 45290621 45340490 44700339 42770233 && ... WIND ... 0.05 36167448 35537657 34287825 32678194 32088423 31568692 31429186 31689978 31180197 31550244 34840316 36920435 38470491 40350532 44350709 44930877 45831005 46701017 47040956 47420560 47210429 45940324 43660212 42480131 38730011 37799964 34919807 34489693 34029530 34269386 34619326 35129320 35489287 35619215 35829039 36538764 37088593 38518435 41168066 42267455 41837309 40427171 0.15 37257478 37067597 36427735 35507845 34868014 34018314 32968628 32548879 32459005 33059302 33589366 33889312 34359270 34939256 35199178 35149090 34808990 34918840 35398705 36568500 40348007 40797587 41027468 40007321 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 37207509 37067597 36427735 35507845 34868014 34018314 32968628 32548879 32459005 33059302 33589366 33889312 34359270 34939256 35199178 35149090 34808990 34918840 35398705 36568500 40348007 40797587 41027468 40007321 SLGT 45570657 45850584 45410455 44560366 42430224 38820126 37740123 37080199 36960332 37380387 40430447 42240535 44550670 45120714 45570657 MRGL 36027496 35537657 34287825 32678194 32088423 31568692 31429186 31689978 31180197 31540244 34840316 36980439 38350489 40400535 44140700 44820887 45691014 46641033 47150964 47390722 47460551 47250417 46090322 43940213 42350105 38730011 34939807 34489693 34029530 34269386 34619326 35129320 35489287 35829039 36538764 37088593 38518435 41168066 42267455 41837309 40427171 TSTM 49849585 48489506 47139461 45999480 44769553 43639616 42449723 40779837 39459844 38109793 37579682 37329259 37439063 38258772 41968240 42388208 43208132 99999999 29330456 31230358 32530344 33980393 35950516 37360581 39590702 40340765 40790858 40980941 41160978 41691014 42170997 43160962 44571024 45511117 46261280 46771462 47521554 50011711 99999999 28539026 29349132 29969361 30139506 30609663 30709819 30399974 29860092 28760133 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE WAL 15 NE ORF 20 E RZZ 25 W GSB 55 NNW FLO 10 ENE AHN 45 N MGM 15 N MEI 10 N JAN 15 SW ELD 20 ENE TXK 40 S HOT 25 ESE HOT 25 NW LIT 40 S BVX 50 SSW JBR 15 SSE MEM 50 NNE TUP 55 NNW HSV 40 N CSV 15 SE PIT 25 WNW ABE 35 NW EWR 55 S ISP THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NNE SHR 40 S MLS 40 E 4BQ 45 NW RAP 40 NE AIA 45 SSE GLD 30 WSW GCK 0 - EHA 35 NNW CAO 25 ENE TAD 30 E FCL 35 S DGW 20 SE SHR 25 NNW SHR 60 NNE SHR THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NNE HSE 40 NE EWN 20 W ILM 40 NE VDI 40 N ABY 10 NE GZH 25 E ESF 50 S ABI 55 SSE MAF 30 SSW MAF 35 NNE CVS 20 NNE RTN 20 WNW PUB 20 W FCL 45 S SHR 20 NNE COD 15 E LVM 30 WNW 3HT 10 NW LWT 65 SSW GGW 45 S OLF 30 S SDY 40 NNE 2WX 25 WSW PHP 20 N MHN 45 SSW HLC 15 SSW CHK 15 NNE ADM 30 NNE PRX 35 ENE DEQ 15 NW HOT 10 SW RUE 20 NE RUE 15 E JBR 15 SW HOP 30 ENE BWG 35 NNE LEX 0 - YNG 40 NNE MSV 25 WSW BDL 50 S BID GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 N ROX 35 SSE RRT 30 SSE BJI 30 ENE AXN 25 WNW RWF 30 E FSD 35 NNE OFK 10 NNE HSI 45 NNE RSL 0 - HUT 35 E ICT 40 SW TBN 25 SSW FAM 20 NW EVV 50 SSE MTC 40 ESE MTC 95 NW ERI ...CONT... 80 SSW MRF 45 SSW INK 15 SW HOB 45 SW CVS 20 N LVS 0 - ALS 0 - EGE 15 SSW CAG 60 SSE RKS 40 N VEL 50 NNW VEL 60 S BPI 30 SSE BPI 45 NNE BPI 45 E WEY 20 S BZN 25 NW BTM 30 WSW MSO 10 SW 3TH 165 N GEG ...CONT... 75 SSE HUM 40 WSW HUM 25 E BPT 35 NNE HOU 15 W CLL 40 NW AUS 10 SSE JCT 35 N DRT 50 SSW DRT