Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Marginal risks of severe thunderstorms, including possible tornadoes and wind, are expected across portions of the central and southern United States on Wednesday, July 15. General thunderstorms are also forecast to impact a wide area stretching from the Plains toward the Pacific Northwest.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 160050 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0749 PM CDT WED JUL 15 2026 VALID TIME 160100Z - 161200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 29240193 30000135 30450062 30569932 30429860 30089840 29059864 28649928 28410020 28270058 && ... HAIL ... && ... WIND ... 0.05 45030665 44790724 44550827 44510938 44660967 45010992 45370995 46410961 46840903 47110800 47080753 47000705 46710664 46010634 45360648 45030665 0.05 31671347 32801415 33851437 34631422 35081411 35401353 35271310 35011238 34721163 34211089 33231024 31581037 30961044 0.05 45142163 45872126 46562052 46771970 46681884 46011836 45211860 44291947 43472156 43642193 44102191 45142163 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MRGL 29310187 30000135 30450062 30569932 30429860 30089840 29059864 28649928 28270058 MRGL 31671347 32801415 33851437 35081411 35401353 34721163 34211089 33231024 30961044 MRGL 44102191 45142163 45872126 46562052 46771970 46681884 46011836 45211860 44291947 43472156 43642193 44102191 MRGL 46410961 46840903 47110800 47000705 46710664 46010634 45360648 45030665 44790724 44550827 44510938 44660967 45010992 45370995 46410961 TSTM 49699295 47169299 46829281 44268916 43628899 43188903 42988915 42958940 42978964 43209025 43979223 45119426 46689757 47720056 47950263 47800379 47570443 47320479 47020504 46420527 45570531 44450533 43320613 42420734 41850803 41410800 41000758 40970734 41080702 41300668 41460628 41480566 41350528 41220527 38760401 36360400 34610481 33960500 33520456 33720283 34170064 34539984 35079994 35550059 36200089 36880077 37210050 37389971 37419851 37939717 38289637 38659262 38508707 36648434 35588268 33647960 32537791 99999999 40367623 40087683 40988095 42338421 42908449 43088366 42918250 41847913 40857671 40367623 99999999 32331518 34321538 35491626 36341717 36511817 36911897 37601944 38301957 38982002 39762042 40682090 41222110 41712146 42262220 42972292 43342289 46412451 99999999 25819673 26609736 27059849 26909980 && THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE 6R6 50 NNW DRT 50 W JCT 25 E JCT 60 N SAT 35 NW BAZ 35 SSW SAT 15 NNW COT 80 SSE DRT THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 SSW GBN 30 ENE YUM 25 NE BLH 15 SW IGM 25 ENE IGM 30 S FLG 55 S INW 45 NW SAD 45 S FHU THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW RDM 40 SW DLS 20 NNW DLS 0 - YKM 40 SSW EPH 50 NNW ALW 0 - ALW 35 SSE PDT 55 NNW BNO 60 SSW RDM 55 SW RDM 40 WSW RDM THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 E 3HT 25 SE LWT 95 NNE BIL 85 SSW GGW 40 WNW MLS 35 SW MLS 45 NNE SHR 25 NE SHR 15 W SHR 45 NNW WRL 20 W COD 35 WNW COD 55 SSE LVM 35 SE LVM 10 E 3HT GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 NNE INL 15 SSW HIB 40 S HIB 35 WNW OSH 35 SW OSH 15 ENE MSN 15 SE MSN 15 SSW MSN 20 SW MSN 0 - LNR 15 ENE RST 30 SSW STC 40 WSW FAR 40 E N60 50 ESE ISN 25 SSW ISN 15 SW SDY 15 N GDV 15 SW GDV 30 E MLS 10 NNE 4BQ 10 NE GCC 35 NNE CPR 45 N RWL 45 W RWL 50 WSW RWL 35 N CAG 35 NNE CAG 50 S RWL 45 SE RWL 35 WNW LAR 10 N LAR 20 E LAR 20 ESE LAR 40 SSW LIC 35 SE RTN 60 NE 4CR 40 ESE 4CR 15 N ROW 55 SSE CVS 25 SW CDS 25 ENE CDS 50 NNE CDS 45 ESE BGD 45 NE BGD 15 SE LBL 30 ENE LBL 30 SSE DDC 10 NNE P28 25 NE ICT 10 WSW EMP 25 WSW COU 40 NE EVV 35 SSW LOZ 15 NW AVL 40 S FLO 100 SE CRE ...CONT... 35 ENE CXY 10 S CXY 25 SW YNG 15 ENE JXN 10 NNE LAN 10 NNE FNT 25 NE MTC 20 SSE JHW 30 SSE IPT 35 ENE CXY ...CONT... 40 SSE IPL 55 SW EED 55 NNE DAG 55 NNE NID 60 S BIH 45 SW BIH 60 NNE FAT 45 SSE TVL 0 - TVL 40 WNW RNO 60 SSW AAT 35 WSW AAT 35 SSE LMT 25 WNW LMT 40 N MFR 55 SSE EUG 35 WNW AST ...CONT... 45 E BRO 45 N BRO 55 SSW ALI 50 SSW LRD