Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Marginal risks of severe thunderstorms, including potential tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds, are expected across much of the central and eastern United States on Friday. General thunderstorms are also forecast to occur throughout various regions from the Midwest to the Atlantic coast and the West Coast.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 190455 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1153 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2026 VALID TIME 191200Z - 201200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 32397912 33387943 34217917 36027700 36387619 36437475 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 45279560 46629626 47069567 47189540 47069417 46029100 44788950 43848906 43188987 43109098 43259188 43539258 43969348 45279560 0.05 40899742 39809789 39219872 38849969 38790096 38440233 37700282 37510339 37980382 39040406 40430205 41610072 41579843 40899742 && ... WIND ... 0.05 29318804 30779338 31479614 32319812 32929857 33939771 34579695 34599474 34389300 33768851 33208465 32888233 33138052 34807842 36067694 36387625 36427499 99999999 26137929 25718042 25878103 26668168 27648194 28048206 28488247 28838346 0.05 43579278 45189542 45969591 46639624 47089557 47109423 46059103 44788946 43848907 43179000 43109090 43249172 43579278 0.05 38849969 38740121 38330239 37670288 37540343 37920385 39030409 40490202 41610075 41549851 40809738 39599811 38849969 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MRGL 26067948 25718042 25878103 26668168 28048206 28488247 28838346 99999999 29388831 31479614 32319812 32929857 33939771 34579695 34599474 32888233 33138052 36067694 36387625 36427513 MRGL 40490202 41610075 41579843 40809738 39809789 39219872 38849969 38740114 38330239 37700282 37510339 37920385 39030409 40490202 MRGL 47189540 47109423 46059103 44788946 43848906 43188987 43109090 43259188 43579278 45279560 46629626 47189540 TSTM 48498691 46108576 43448462 42878462 42558488 42328531 42128617 41858770 41508993 41259110 40859303 40469477 40099643 39819715 39529729 39099718 38699696 38279660 37819596 37499512 37109380 36699237 36139094 35729004 35378917 35048824 34948725 34828527 34798398 34828273 34988175 35308104 35838036 36687971 37427890 37857839 38457721 38617590 38597391 99999999 46217089 45077022 44627035 44097090 43357189 42317392 41717502 41547561 41597667 41867815 42117890 42407948 43208002 99999999 31480768 32310806 32960844 34040877 34420883 35130860 36030824 37420754 38390689 38850648 39380596 39880538 43409918 44229832 44559825 44999826 45469862 46149934 49620370 99999999 41972489 43672268 44412044 44411803 43951479 42711289 42241270 41521312 39921452 37901756 37571824 37461898 37521944 37912002 38572078 39052138 39382194 39892324 40172498 && THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ENE MIA 10 SW MIA 45 W MIA 15 ENE FMY 40 ENE PIE 40 NNE PIE 60 SSW CTY ...CONT... 65 E BVE 40 SSE CRS 0 - SEP 30 WNW MWL 45 WSW ADM 20 NNE ADM 30 SSW RKR 40 SSW AGS 30 SE OGB 45 WSW ECG 10 NNW ECG 60 E ECG THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W IML 35 N LBF 40 N GRI 30 W LNK 20 NW CNK 25 NNE RSL 40 SSE HLC 50 SE GLD 25 NE LAA 25 SSW LAA 35 S LHX 20 WSW LHX 30 SW LIC 20 W IML THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW BJI 50 N BRD 35 S ASX 10 E CWA 25 WSW OSH 15 E LNR 50 N DBQ 55 NNE ALO 30 SSW RST 45 SSW AXN 25 SW DTL 30 SW BJI GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 115 NE CMX 60 NW PLN 30 WSW MBS 0 - LAN 20 SW LAN 15 ENE AZO 15 E BEH 45 NW VPZ 30 E MLI 30 N BRL 30 S OXV 50 N STJ 20 SE BIE 30 NE CNK 20 E CNK 25 W MHK 35 SSW MHK 25 W EMP 30 WNW CNU 25 ESE CNU 15 NNE UMN 35 N FLP 0 - ARG 35 ESE JBR 20 SW MKL 40 WNW MSL 25 ENE MSL 15 SSW CHA 70 S TYS 20 N AND 15 ENE SPA 10 NW CLT 30 SW GSO 20 WNW DAN 20 ENE LYH 20 S CHO 30 SSW DCA 30 NW SBY 70 SSE ACY ...CONT... 110 N BML 55 NNW AUG 35 NW AUG 25 ESE MWN 20 WNW CON 30 SSW ALB 10 W MSV 15 NNE AVP 25 NNE IPT 25 E BFD 20 E JHW 20 NW JHW 80 N ERI ...CONT... 55 S DMN 25 SSE SVC 30 NW SVC 70 ESE SOW 75 S GUP 30 SSE GUP 50 S FMN 20 NNE DRO 10 SSE GUC 35 SE ASE 50 ENE ASE 30 WNW DEN 25 SSE 9V9 10 SSW HON 10 N HON 35 SSE ABR 10 W ABR 65 SSW JMS 100 N ISN ...CONT... 30 WSW 4BK 40 SE EUG 35 ENE RDM 30 SSW BKE 40 NW SUN 20 SW PIH 20 WNW MLD 60 SW MLD 45 NNE ELY 30 WSW TPH 15 NNE BIH 35 WNW BIH 55 NNE FAT 50 NNE MER 40 E SAC 35 N SAC 55 SSE RBL 55 N UKI 60 SW EKA