Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-08-10 16:02 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms, which may include tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds, are expected across much of the central and eastern United States on Monday. Various regions face slight to marginal risks of severe weather, with a broader area across the country prone to general thunderstorms throughout the day.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 101602 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1100 AM CDT MON AUG 10 2026 VALID TIME 101630Z - 111200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 41238434 40498257 40628083 40357957 40057666 39817635 39337615 38837663 38747732 39277878 38838152 38778306 39508523 40428591 40808775 40728828 40948935 41328974 41738968 42338890 41948727 41238434 0.02 44000066 44880199 45660208 45890116 45579995 44929835 44079877 43809992 44000066 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 42898872 42468490 41888385 41108264 41028153 41348019 42057907 42237676 41777485 40827434 40087426 39357477 39077504 38817560 38667649 38617782 38728156 38938442 39418813 39989024 40219092 40739248 41689518 42049756 41959997 40930114 39580149 38880260 39120352 39930375 40790381 42460329 44010381 45010398 46310387 47360319 47690131 47119881 45609640 44419439 43309050 42898872 0.05 31331185 32531178 32911066 32520960 31820938 31010936 0.15 45140254 45730239 46020190 46100060 46049883 45519789 44569787 44029876 43790034 44000124 44480212 45140254 CIG1 46620050 46159861 44849656 44329654 43759775 43300017 42970196 43160321 44070368 45940374 46400269 46570155 46620050 && ... WIND ... 0.05 37547941 37548190 38058435 38478791 38978985 40869263 40989706 40329956 39580030 38650101 38190204 38160300 38690348 40420385 42210317 42680330 44130387 45770360 46330333 47050135 46269728 44739346 43008912 42748373 42698154 43167818 43267615 44007528 44907564 45267501 45227309 45207162 45757058 45387012 43927207 43787337 42737334 41737265 39537363 37547506 37547941 0.05 31811357 32881373 33601366 34131301 34401170 34021013 33200948 30790871 0.15 46010185 46080075 46069942 45899835 43489256 42809215 42419238 42059326 42259619 43490042 44530215 45110254 45740236 46010185 0.15 31351195 32261225 32911276 33471270 33731232 33591162 32321047 31071007 0.15 41340134 39280150 39080213 39060269 39270315 41240319 41650277 41710176 41340134 0.15 42048687 41828387 41118269 41018156 41308017 41957934 42287871 42757597 42537454 40407393 39767401 38957457 38437571 38727826 38208015 38118236 39118633 39778836 40328987 40819042 41269036 42098948 42418811 42048687 0.30 41857787 41817659 41277591 40627536 40027563 39707742 38877908 38708249 39028400 39508373 39878288 39768055 40457889 41487838 41857787 CIG1 42969853 43500037 44470088 45040067 45239896 43959492 43179397 42829414 42519456 42969853 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 31351195 32261225 32911276 33471270 33731232 33591162 32321047 31071007 SLGT 41650277 41710176 41340134 39280150 39080213 39060269 39270315 41240319 41650277 SLGT 41269036 42098948 42418811 42048687 41828387 41118269 41018156 41308017 41957934 42287871 42757597 42537454 40407393 39767401 38957457 38437571 38727826 38208015 38118236 39118633 39778836 40328987 40819042 41269036 SLGT 45730239 46020190 46100060 46049883 43489256 42809215 42419238 42059326 42259619 43490042 44480212 45110254 45730239 MRGL 31811357 32881373 33601366 34131301 34401170 34021013 33200948 30840873 MRGL 45227309 45207162 45757058 45387012 43927207 43787337 42737334 41737265 39537363 99999999 42748121 43167818 43267615 44007528 44907564 99999999 37547506 37548190 38058435 38478791 38978985 40709240 40879287 40989706 40329956 39580030 38650101 38190204 38160300 38690348 40420385 40790381 42460329 44130387 45010398 46310387 47360319 47690131 47119881 46319753 43008912 42708194 TSTM 32131686 34491779 35161758 36371584 37121587 37361671 37071808 37311876 38101931 39021882 39911800 41661484 43341279 44251131 44570913 43890644 44130532 46000535 46860474 48250216 48489975 48109718 46309500 45509181 44779001 43508621 43278463 43108361 43468136 99999999 25619774 27659812 28859835 30629819 31159755 32009502 32299223 32639181 33939177 34759144 35219068 36808965 37579006 37889294 38619483 38229696 38300055 36880257 34560476 33530643 32310767 31210796 99999999 33609590 32999703 32369826 32869968 33939915 34389845 35029660 34639564 33609590 99999999 49420388 48590531 48390688 48941116 49671380 99999999 30650585 31110472 30950340 30240191 29250145 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 SW TUS 55 SSE GBN 0 - GBN 35 N GBN 25 NW PHX 25 ENE PHX 30 ENE TUS 40 SSE FHU THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S AIA 45 WSW MHN 35 WNW LBF 10 ESE GLD 15 SE ITR 25 WSW ITR 30 E LIC 15 NW SNY 30 S AIA THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSE MLI 20 WSW RFD 30 SSW RAC 25 WSW BEH 15 NNW TOL 20 NNW MFD 10 NW CAK 15 WSW FKL 15 SSW JHW 35 N BFD 25 SSE SYR 40 WSW ALB 20 SSW JFK 25 SE NEL 35 S ACY 15 WNW SBY 40 NNE CHO 30 NNE SSU 20 SSE HTS 15 E BMG 20 SSW CMI 25 SSW PIA 45 S MLI 15 SSE MLI THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SW Y22 15 ENE Y22 40 NNW MBG 45 NNW ABR 30 S RST 20 NE ALO 10 S ALO 40 NNE DSM 15 SE SUX 45 N VTN 40 NW PHP 60 SSW Y22 15 SW Y22 THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 SE YUM 55 ENE YUM 60 E BLH 50 SW PRC 50 S FLG 20 SSW SOW 25 NNE SAD 65 SE DUG THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 N BTV 35 NE EFK 80 NNE BML 75 NNW AUG 25 NNE LEB 25 NW RUT 20 N PSF 15 S BDL 50 SE NEL ...CONT... 70 NW ERI 25 W ROC 10 N SYR 35 E ART 40 W MSS ...CONT... 35 SE WAL 40 WNW BLF 15 E LEX 35 NW EVV 10 ENE ALN 30 S OTM 25 SW OTM 20 WNW LNK 40 SW EAR 30 WNW HLC 50 NNW GCK 35 ENE LAA 20 WNW LAA 40 SSE LIC 35 WNW AKO 50 NW AKO 25 SSW CDR 40 W RAP 45 SSW 2WX 20 E BHK 45 NNW DIK 0 - N60 15 NNW JMS 55 SW FAR 15 SE MSN 45 E MTC GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW CZZ 20 ESE PMD 25 NE EDW 25 SSE DRA 30 NNE DRA 55 SSE TPH 25 SE BIH 20 W BIH 65 SE TVL 35 S NFL 30 ESE LOL 60 SSW TWF 30 NNW PIH 30 SSW WEY 0 - COD 70 N CPR 20 SE GCC 40 N 4BQ 20 S GDV 40 W MOT 45 WNW DVL 10 N GFK 35 NNE AXN 45 NNW EAU 15 W CWA 25 N MKG 35 N LAN 10 NE FNT 85 ESE BAX ...CONT... 30 SW BRO 10 SW ALI 50 S SAT 35 NW AUS 10 W TPL 30 SW GGG 20 SW MLU 15 ENE MLU 20 SSE PBF 50 NE PBF 45 S JBR 30 S CGI 25 SE FAM 50 NNE SGF 15 SSW OJC 45 NNE ICT 25 NNE GCK 30 S SPD 60 ENE 4CR 45 SE ONM 0 - DMN 75 S DMN ...CONT... 25 W PRX 15 NW DAL 10 NNW SEP 30 N ABI 35 W SPS 20 S FSI 50 SSE CQB 20 SSE MLC 25 W PRX ...CONT... 85 N ISN 35 NNE OLF 15 NW GGW 60 ENE CTB 95 NNE GPI ...CONT... 85 SSE ELP 50 S GDP 30 W FST 25 NE 6R6 35 WSW DRT