Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Severe thunderstorms with risks of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are expected across parts of the central and eastern United States through July 28. An enhanced risk of severe weather is forecast for portions of the Midwest, including areas near Milwaukee and Evansville, while slight to marginal risks extend across much of the eastern half of the country.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 272000 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0258 PM CDT MON JUL 27 2026 VALID TIME 272000Z - 281200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 43478792 42828639 42558555 42448450 41888388 40948354 39898347 38978373 38288420 37618497 37228557 37498694 37758760 38598841 42398989 42858974 43738926 43478792 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 42308188 40538216 39048330 38768535 39568954 40669058 43888946 44148713 45608546 45618169 0.05 44950306 44140120 43390028 42780024 42560093 43020276 43980452 44810420 44950306 0.15 42958962 43658916 43678833 43488773 43168678 42798580 41908499 41088545 40518699 40848822 41368924 42048940 42958962 0.15 44008516 44458600 44708622 45298565 45368467 45168378 45008301 44708268 44198300 43908363 43768421 44008516 && ... WIND ... 0.05 32607927 31798162 32078329 33398331 34168225 34227927 34437841 35067788 36497724 37937813 38737928 38787994 36608196 35898323 35298466 35188555 35488695 37588903 38768999 39639081 41219105 43159073 44258944 44438763 45128713 45918644 45948399 44928183 99999999 44067812 42217826 41807738 41877577 41687440 41257381 40067334 0.05 31201153 32331188 32821200 33261178 33481128 33281052 32771005 32010939 31020889 0.05 44479953 43039832 41909747 41069723 39719755 39119809 38639920 38320009 38010114 38170277 39620406 40890329 41640226 42100285 43560539 44390597 46070487 46340383 46050157 45470048 44479953 0.15 42927939 42367936 40888073 39938198 39508232 38998230 38438211 37718217 36898309 36608424 36688609 37158716 38108885 39739043 40999072 41699057 43248999 43948949 44168769 44688650 45318560 45348472 45128340 44848233 44568149 0.15 39030123 38770175 38750244 39230313 40070348 40580317 41500162 42060154 42490310 42930385 43420438 44140466 45000407 45060332 44750226 44410155 43260098 42370066 41330046 40290049 39030123 0.30 41628922 42868912 43218877 43078794 42268617 41938530 41678473 41288441 40038441 38958449 38628500 38148628 38018733 38418791 39258872 40118890 41628922 CIG1 43398863 42778636 42158515 41568430 40818409 39518391 39268383 38698344 38248336 37688360 37158430 36978510 37068632 37508722 38228866 39929006 40679036 42888937 43398863 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 42868912 43218877 43078794 41678473 41288441 38958449 38628500 38148628 38018733 38418791 39258872 41628922 42868912 SLGT 42927939 42367936 40888073 39938198 39508232 38998230 38438211 37718217 36898309 36608424 36688609 37158716 38108885 39739043 40999072 41699057 43248999 43948949 44168769 44688650 45318560 45368467 45128340 44658176 SLGT 45000407 45060332 44750226 44410155 43260098 42370066 41330046 40290049 39030123 38770175 38750244 39230313 40070348 40580317 41500162 42060154 42490310 42930385 43420438 44140466 45000407 MRGL 31201153 32821200 33261178 33481128 33281052 32010939 31020889 MRGL 44067812 42217826 41807738 41877577 41687440 41257381 40067334 99999999 32607927 31798162 32078329 33398331 34168225 34227927 34437841 35067788 36497724 37937813 38737928 38787994 36608196 35898323 35298466 35188555 35488695 37588903 39639081 41219105 43159073 44258944 44438763 45918644 45948399 45618328 45618195 MRGL 46070487 46340383 46050157 45470048 44479953 41909747 41069723 39719755 39119809 38639920 38010114 38170277 39620406 40890329 41640226 42100285 43560539 44390597 46070487 TSTM 28408975 28888980 30489036 31609039 35018977 36499050 37189135 37799249 38519437 38559620 38219764 37149998 36510236 35310364 33070478 30550573 99999999 34558050 35787891 37097811 37577803 37847819 38037855 37977890 37597960 36788082 36058193 35388306 35298347 34718309 34418182 34558050 99999999 49470034 48969978 48329905 47679844 46929801 45879743 45139750 44369774 43689789 42809740 42169633 42079465 42719271 44339220 46159263 47239402 49879432 99999999 31551334 32221305 32931310 33691333 34831377 35971449 37441419 38651443 39121485 39641561 40161572 40541529 40831468 42991316 43851339 45091293 46031238 46821165 47191056 47050951 46930795 47150670 47890542 48540520 49460566 99999999 47756904 43417158 40167266 39547266 && THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW JVL 30 ENE MSN 10 NNW MKE 45 SSW JXN 40 WSW TOL 10 SSW LUK 45 NNW LEX 30 W SDF 10 E EVV 35 NW EVV 30 WSW MTO 40 S RFD 15 NNW JVL THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W BUF 15 NNW JHW 25 S YNG 0 - ZZV 20 NNW UNI 15 SSW UNI 25 ENE HTS 50 SSE HTS 50 SSE JKL 35 SSW LOZ 25 SE BWG 40 S OWB 15 S MVN 40 WSW SPI 25 NE BRL 15 NNW MLI 10 E LNR 40 E VOK 0 - MTW 30 NNW MBL 40 N TVC 15 SSE PLN 10 ENE APN 85 NE BAX THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SW 2WX 35 SSE 2WX 60 NNW PHP 25 N PHP 35 NW VTN 35 S VTN 20 NE LBF 10 NE MCK 35 SE GLD 40 S GLD 35 SSW ITR 30 E LIC 15 WSW AKO 30 N AKO 45 SW MHN 25 W MHN 25 S CDR 40 W CDR 70 NE DGW 45 ESE GCC 50 SW 2WX THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SSW TUS 40 S PHX 20 SE PHX 45 E PHX 60 WNW SAD 40 NNE DUG 50 SE DUG THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 NNW ROC 35 NNE BFD 35 SW ELM 25 SSE BGM 20 E MSV 25 S POU 45 SSE JFK ...CONT... 50 ESE CHS 35 SW SAV 50 SSE MCN 40 S AHN 35 SE AND 25 E FLO 30 WNW ILM 20 NW OAJ 25 E RZZ 20 SE CHO 30 ESE EKN 10 SW EKN 25 ENE TRI 25 W HSS 35 ENE CHA 20 WNW CHA 45 SSW BNA 20 SE MDH 30 SE UIN 30 N BRL 30 W LNR 40 SSE CWA 20 N MTW 35 ENE ESC 40 SSE ANJ 40 NNE APN 85 ENE APN THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW BHK 20 E BHK 30 ENE Y22 0 - MBG 50 NNW 9V9 0 - OFK 30 SSE OLU 15 NNE CNK 30 NW SLN 25 SW RSL 25 WNW GCK 10 NW LAA 30 NW LIC 20 SW SNY 40 SE AIA 0 - AIA 55 S GCC 20 W GCC 35 SW BHK GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SSW BVE 40 SW BVE 35 N MSY 30 N MCB 10 E MEM 20 S POF 40 NE UNO 20 W TBN 30 SE OJC 15 N EMP 15 NE HUT 45 S DDC 35 NNE DHT 10 NNW TCC 20 SW ROW 95 SSE ELP ...CONT... 55 SSE CLT 10 SW RDU 30 N AVC 45 SSE CHO 25 SE CHO 10 SW CHO 20 S SHD 30 NE ROA 25 SSW PSK 40 SE TRI 30 W AVL 45 SE TYS 25 NW AND 35 SSE SPA 55 SSE CLT ...CONT... 95 NNE MOT 70 NW DVL 15 NNW DVL 40 SE DVL 30 E JMS 65 NNW ATY 20 NW ATY 25 E HON 10 SE MHE 10 S YKN 15 S SUX 40 SW FOD 20 NW ALO 30 NNE RST 50 SSW DLH 60 N BRD 80 NE RRT ...CONT... 100 SSW GBN 55 SSW GBN 25 W GBN 65 NW GBN 30 SSE IGM 40 ESE LAS 20 SE P38 50 SSE ELY 10 S ELY 20 ENE P68 45 S EKO 30 SE EKO 35 WNW ENV 30 W PIH 50 ENE SUN 20 WSW DLN 10 NE BTM 20 NE HLN 45 ESE GTF 0 - LWT 85 NNE BIL 75 S GGW 15 SSE OLF 35 NNE OLF 95 N OLF ...CONT... 75 NW CAR 15 NNW CON 50 SSE ISP 90 SSE ISP