Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Severe thunderstorms with potential for tornadoes, hail, and wind are forecast across much of the central and eastern United States through July 31. Risk levels range from marginal to slight for portions of the Plains, Gulf Coast, and Southeast.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 301955 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0253 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2026 VALID TIME 302000Z - 311200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 39979983 41000135 41890191 42820234 43330232 43540177 43720054 43409972 42079794 41359759 40149792 39889879 39979983 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 48889161 48089259 47439378 47099536 46839722 46359930 45530049 44960056 43989982 43089917 42019886 41109889 40229943 39740008 39410052 37180156 36400207 35940283 35810375 35950424 36580459 38080445 40240450 41870458 43580550 44340612 45080673 45580808 46030880 46290925 47140982 47590998 49601066 99999999 49660737 48650588 48390448 48230206 48390057 48819899 49569714 && ... WIND ... 0.05 29017985 28658125 28568280 30008680 30118788 30228830 30368888 30578908 30798919 31118905 31408865 31658771 31588607 31338297 31158023 0.05 48468690 46998941 46379305 45599456 44869519 44099565 43419570 42589560 41399483 40289433 39309419 38689439 38109509 37719588 37729666 37879775 37699856 37489918 37139969 36430041 36020134 35840200 35760282 35800382 35920420 36530458 38120448 40550449 41920462 43520549 44340612 45000662 45440775 45770844 46230917 46930974 47500999 48301021 49461066 99999999 49590545 48630526 48190496 47870339 48000010 48379825 48729751 49389658 0.15 42559725 41759672 40829574 40159548 39499565 39119630 38979744 38989886 39520012 39840081 41710209 43510278 45490360 45790322 45810197 45620054 44989881 44139810 43459772 42559725 CIG1 43030382 44110404 44920355 45250233 45200054 44239856 43599793 42839744 42179702 41409676 40729698 40149752 39879846 39829950 40530146 41460268 43030382 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 45790322 45810197 45620054 44989881 44139810 42559725 41759672 40829574 40159548 39499565 39119630 38979744 38989886 39840081 41710209 45490360 45790322 MRGL 28958007 28658125 28568280 28868364 99999999 29148441 30008680 30118788 30368888 30798919 31118905 31408865 31658771 31188061 MRGL 49470543 48520519 48390448 48230206 48390057 48819899 49499731 99999999 48358708 46998941 46379305 45599456 44869519 44099565 43419570 42589560 41399483 40289433 39309419 38689439 38109509 37719588 37729666 37879775 37699856 37489918 37139969 36430041 36020134 35840200 35760282 35800382 35950424 36580459 38120448 39650449 41920462 43520549 45030668 45580808 46290925 46930974 49461066 TSTM 31711298 32191271 32921240 33641240 34911294 35641326 36201318 36581267 36941182 37001033 36770892 37030823 37350817 37840968 38191088 38441140 39161187 39841230 42461500 43841612 44551621 46111585 46911482 49521153 99999999 25807911 25567971 25558030 25848118 25828279 99999999 47726773 46036937 45037058 44007054 42687044 41986976 41416999 40697334 40627441 40967509 41797569 43857644 44917676 99999999 46668285 44718669 44638882 44709099 43949163 42229063 39409014 36989127 35649127 35099063 33268595 32478358 32308105 32117951 99999999 28989242 32919492 34179565 34669620 34529812 33840111 33820294 33560418 32510485 30760599 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE 2WX 15 SE Y22 10 NW MBG 40 SSW ABR 20 SSE HON 25 SSE YKN 30 W TQE 15 WNW SDA 10 NE FNB 30 N TOP 20 E MHK 15 NE SLN 10 NNW RSL 30 SSW MCK 45 ESE AIA 0 - 2WX 20 NE 2WX THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ESE DAB 10 NE ORL 45 N PIE 60 SSW CTY ...CONT... 55 SE AAF 40 SE PNS 45 SSE MOB 10 ESE GPT 30 NNW GPT 30 SSE PIB 40 E PIB 45 WNW GZH 50 E SSI THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 N OLF 35 NNE OLF 50 NNW SDY 35 W MOT 35 ENE MOT 50 N DVL 55 NNW HCO ...CONT... 105 NE CMX 45 NE IWD 50 SW DLH 25 W STC 20 NNW RWF 30 N OTG 20 SSW OTG 20 W SLB 50 SE DNS 30 SW LWD 25 ENE MKC 20 ESE OJC 35 NE CNU 20 W CNU 40 E ICT 15 SSE HUT 30 N P28 35 WNW P28 45 SSE DDC 35 WNW GAG 20 N BGD 35 ESE DHT 25 SW DHT 45 NNW TCC 55 SSE RTN 10 SSW RTN 10 S PUB 20 ESE DEN 25 WSW TOR 55 N DGW 25 NE SHR 25 SE BIL 30 ESE 3HT 15 WSW LWT 75 NNW HVR GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 S GBN 50 S GBN 15 E GBN 25 WNW PHX 35 WNW PRC 45 NE IGM 65 SSE SGU 50 NNW GCN 20 W PGA 40 SSE U17 40 SSW CEZ 20 N FMN 25 E CEZ 20 NNW 4BL 20 SSW 4HV 40 W 4HV 40 ESE U24 35 NNE U24 25 W TWF 20 NNE BOI 25 SSW MYL 10 WSW P69 35 W MSO 75 NNE CTB ...CONT... 75 E MIA 40 ESE MIA 15 S MIA 40 ESE APF 65 WSW APF ...CONT... 60 NNE CAR 90 NNW BGR 40 NE BML 25 NNW PWM 35 SE PSM 35 NE HYA 10 NNE ACK 15 WSW ISP 15 WSW EWR 30 NE ABE 30 N AVP 25 WSW ART 75 NNW ART ...CONT... 75 E ANJ 35 NW MBL 45 NNW OSH 25 ESE EAU 20 WNW LSE 15 SSE DBQ 35 N ALN 35 ENE UNO 20 ESE BVX 35 W MEM 25 SSW ANB 15 SSE MCN 15 NE SAV 60 SSE CHS ...CONT... 60 SSW 7R4 40 NNW GGG 40 NNW PRX 30 WSW MLC 20 ESE FSI 40 ESE PVW 45 SSE CVS 25 NE ROW 35 WNW CNM 75 SSE ELP